Monday, 26 November 2018

Plantation and Ecological Balance


ikS/kkjksi.k o gekjk ikfjfLFkdh ra=
Published in shaikshik manthan
      ns'k esa lHkh f'k{k.k laLFkk,a izfro"kZ O;kid Lrj ij ikS/kkjksi.k djrh gSA ysfdu] i;kZoj.k o ikfjfLFkfrdh dk leqfpr cks/k ugha gksus ls vDlj uhe] veyrkl] v'kksd] 'kh'ke] xqyeksgj o dpukj tSls fdlh ,d vFkok nks&rhu iztkfr ds ikS/ks gh yxk nsrha gSaA bl izdkj ikS/kkjksi.k esa ikfjfLFkfrdh ra= dh vogsyuk lhfer ;k ,d gh iztkfr dk ikS/kjksi.k djus ls gjhfrek esa o`f) ds mijkar Hkh i;kZoj.k dh cgqr cM+h {kfr gksrh gSA ikfjfLFkfrdh ds laj{k.k gsrq ;g ije vko';d gS fd ikS/kkjksi.k esa vf/kdre fofo/krk ykdj dhV&iraxksa o lw{e thfo;ksa ls ysdj Ñf"k fe= dbZ tkus okys dhVksa o lw{e thfo;ksa dks o"kZ Hkj vkokl o vkgkj miyC/k gks ldsaA
      ;g mYys[kuh; gS fd gekjh feV~Vh esa lw{e thok.kqvksa dh izpqjrk gh mldh moZjrk dks cuk;s j[kus o c<+kus esa lgk;rk djrh gSA i`Foh ij ik;s tkus okys rhu yk[k izdkj ds vko`Ùkchth ¼,aftvkLieZ½ vFkkZr iqf"ir gksus okys ;k Qwyksa okys isM+&ikS/ks vkSj Ms<+ yk[k izdkj ds dhV&irax ijLij voyfEcr gSaA buesa tks dhV&irax Qlyksa o Qynkj m|kuksa esa ijkx.k esa lgk;d fl) gksrs gSa] mudk vkt gekjh dqy d`f"k Åit esa 15&20 izfr'kr ;ksxnku gSA i`Foh ij fo|eku isM+&ikS/kksa o lw{e thfo;ksa ls ysdj dhV&iraxksa o euq"; i;ZUr lHkh tho/kkjh ,d cM+h lhek rd ijLij voyfEcr gSaA blfy;s l`f"V esa fo|eku leLr tho iztkfr;ksa ds vfLrRo dk laj{k.k djuk vfr vko';d gSA ;Fkk vkt isM+&ikS/kksa esa ijkx.kdrkZ dhV&iraxksa] frrfy;ksa o e/kqefD[k;ksa vkfn dh la[;k esa deh ds dkj.k Qlyksa dh mRikndrk izHkkfor gksus yxh gSA
      cknke tSlh dbZ ikni iztkfr;ksa esa rks 'kr&izfr'kr ijkx.k gh ,sls ijkx.kdrkZ dhVksa }kjk fd;k tkrk gSA blh izdkj vla[; dhV iztkfr;ksa dk thou Hkh fofo/k iq"iksa ds ijkx ;k bu ikS/kksa ds Qy] Nky vkfn ij voyfEcr gksrk gSA fofo/k Qlyksa ,oa Qyksa ds cxhpksa dh mRikndrk] bu ijkx.kdrkZ dhVksa ;Fkk e/kqefD[k;ksa] frrfy;ksa] iraxksa] Hkzejksa] 'kyHk vkfn }kjk fd;s tkus okys ijkx.k ij fuHkZj gksus ls bu dhVksa dh fofo/krk o l?kurk] vkt gekjh [kk| lqj{kk ds fy;s vR;ar egRoiw.kZ gks tkrh gSA bu fofo/k Qlyksa esa ijkx.k djus okyh bu e/kqefD[k;ksa] frrfy;ksa o vU; dhV&iraxksa dh vusd iztkfr;k¡] vius vkgkj o vkokl gsrq] vk/kk ;k ikSu fdyksehVj ls vkxs Hkh ugha tk ikrh gSaA ,slh NksVh lh ifjf/k esa gh Hkze.k esa l{ke dhVksa ds vfLrRo ds j{k.k ds fy;s bruh NksVh ifjf/k esa gh lc _rqvksa o eghuksa esa iqf"ir o Qfyr gksus okys isM+&ikS/kksa dk gksuk Hkh ije vko';d gks tkrk gSA
      blh izdkj vusd Qy Hk{kh i{kh Hkh 2&3 ;k 5 fdyksehVj ls nwj ugha tk ikrs gSaA muds fy;s Hkh ,slh NksVh lh ifjf/k esa gh _rqpØ ls] izR;sd ekSle o izR;sd ekg esa Qy nsus okys isM+&ikS/kksa dk gksuk ije vko';d gSA izd`fr esa vukfndky ls ikjEifjd :i ls ,slh tSo fofo/krk lHkh {ks=ksa esa ik;h tkrh jgh gS ftlls dhV iraxksa o if{k;ksa dk o"kZ Hkj izfrekg o izfr fnu vkgkj gsrq iq"i o Qy lqyHk gks tk;saA ysfdu] foxr 5&6 n'kdksa esa gq;s ou fouk'k ds ckn vkt izd`fr izseo'k fd;s tkus okys ikS/kkjksi.k esa vdlj ,slh okafNr tSo fofo/krk dk vHkko ns[kk tkrk gSA lkekU;r;k vktdy gks jgs o`{kkjksi.k esa uhe dh gh lokZf/kd cgqyrk gksrh gS ;k dqN lkSUn;Zo)Zd isM+ksa ;Fkk xqyeksgj] veyrkl] dpukj] 'kh'ke vkfn dh Hkh cgqyrk ns[kh tkrh gSA bl izdkj ds ,dkdh ;k dsoy 3&4 izdkj ds ikS/kksa ds ikS/kkjksi.k ftls eksuks&dYpj dgk tkrk gS ;k lhfer izdkj ds Qyjfgr o ek= lkSUn;Zo)Zd iztkfr;ksa ds o`{kkjksi.k ds dkj.k izd`fr esa viwj.kh; ikfjfLFkfrdh; vlUrqyu mRiUu gks jgk gSA vusd i;kZoj.k&izseh LoSfPNd laxBu vktdy i`Foh dks gjhfrek ;qDr djus ds y{; ls dbZ LFkkuksa ij iwjh dh iwjh uhe ifj;kstuk tSlh ,dkdh ikS/kksa ds jksi.k dh Hkh ;kstuk viuk dj lc nwj izpqjrk esa uhe ;k fdlh ,d ;k lhfer izdkj ds isM+ksa ds gh ikS/kkjksi.k esa layXu gks tkrs gSaA ysfdu] uhe] v'kksd o veyrkl tSlh ,dy ;k lhfer iztkfr;ksa esa ls izR;sd ij iq"iksa o Qyksa ds vkus dh vof/k o"kZ esa ,d ckj ekSle ds vuqlkj yxHkx 15&20 fnu dh gh jgrh gSA blfy;s ml vof/k esa rks fdlh Hkh LFkku fo'ks"k ij e/kqefD[k;ksa] frrfy;ksa] iraxksa] Hk`axksa] chVYl vkfn ijkx.kdrkZ dhVksa dks vFkok Qy Hk{kh if{k;ksa dks iq"iksa dk ijkx o Qyksa ls vkgkj fey tkrk gSA ysfdu] mlds ckn esa dbZ fdyksehVj rd vU; okafNr iztkfr ds isM+&ikS/ks ugha gksus ls dhV o i{kh vkgkj ds vHkko esa cM+h la[;k esa foyqIr gksrs pys tk jgs gSaA Ñf"k esa dhVuk'kh jlk;uksa vFkkZr isLVhlkbM~l ds vfr iz;ksx ls Qlyksa ds fe= dhVksa dk rsth ls foyksiu gqvk gS vkSj dhVksa ds foyksiu ls eksj o cxqys ls ysdj fVVgjh i;ZUr lHkh dhV Hk{kh if{k;ksa dk foyksiu gks jgk gSA fuvksfudksfVukbM tSls dhVuk'kdksa ds Qlyksa ij fNM+dko ds ckn mu Qlyksa ls ijkx xzg.k djus okyh e/kqefD[k;ksa esa Le`fryksi gks tkus ls os vius NÙkksa ij ugha ykSV ikrh gSa vkSj blls ;wjksi esa Hkkjh ek=k esa e/kqefD[k;ksa dk yksi gqvk gSA
      blh izdkj ?kVrh tSo fofo/krk ds dkj.k Qlyksa ds vusd fe= dhVksa ds foyksiu ls vkt tgk¡ ijk&ijkx.k esa vk;h deh ls Qlyksa dh mRikndrk esa gzkl gks jgk gS] ogha vusd isjklkbVkWbM dgs tkus okys mu ijthoh dhVksa] ftudk thou pØ Qlyksa dks u"V djus okys dhVksa o d`fe;ksa ij iwjk gksrk gS] ds foyksiu ls Hkh gekjh fuHkZjrk mŸkjksŸkj] vR;Ur ?kkrd dhVuk'kh jlk;uksa ij c<+rh tk jgh gSA bu dhVuk'kh jlk;uksa ls vkt peZ jksx] ;d`r fodkj o xqnksZ esa fod`fr] ikfdZulkWfuTe o dSalj tSlh vufxur vlk/; chekfj;k¡] egkekjh dh lh rsth ls c<+ jgha gSaA fcuk isLVhlkbM Qlyksa dks dbZ ?kkrd dhVksa ls cpkus esa l{ke mijksDr isjklkbVkWbM Js.kh ds dhVksa ds dbZ ntZuksa ladqy gSa] ftudk thou&pØ fofo/k Qlyksa ij yxus okys dhVksa ij gh iwjk gksrk gSA blfy;s ;s Qlysa fcuk dhVukkh jlk;uksa ds gh vukfndky ls bu isjklbVkWbM dhVksa ds cy ij lqjf{kr jgrh vk;ha gSaA bl isjklkbVkWbM Js.kh ds dhVksa ds jgrs  fdlh Hkh Qly ;k Qyksa ds cxhpksa ij ml Qly ;k Qyksa dks uqdlku igq¡pkus okys fdlh dhV dk izdksi gksus dh n'kk esa] ml dhV izdksi&xzLr Qly ;k mu Qyksa ds o`{kksa esa izd`fr&tU; ,sls lqxfU/kr tSo jlk;uksa dk la'ys"k.k gksrk jgk gS ftudh lqaxU/k ls os isjklkbWVkbM Js.kh ds ijthoh dhV vkd`"V gksdj vk tkrs Fks] tks ml Qly ;k Qy ds uk'kd dhVksa dks lekIr dj nsrs Fks vkSj og Qly ;k Qyksa ds cxhps] isjklkbVkWbM Js.kh ds bu fe= dhVksa ds izrki ls cp tkrs FksA ysfdu] fofo/k Qlyksa ds ;s fe=or dhV tks mudks uqdlkunsg dhVksa ls cpkrs jgs gSa] mudks vkJ; nsus okys o`{kksa ds vkl&ikl gksus ij gh ;g tSfod dhV fu;U=.k lEHko gksrk FkkA bl gsrq dsoy ,dkdh vFkok ek= rhu&pkj izdkj ds o`{kksa dk o`++{kkjksi.k u dj ikjEifjd :i ls fdlh Hkh {ks= esa gksrs vk;s lHkh fofo/k isM+&ikS/kksa dks iqu% fodflr djuk vko';d gSA


Monday, 5 November 2018

Education - key to Master the 4th Industrial Revolution

Education-key to Master the 4th Industrial Revolution

Published In University News, Vol. 56, No.45, November 05-11, 2018

The Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR), characterized by the fusion of technologies blurring lines inter se the physical, digital, and biological spheres and collectively referred to as cyber-physical system1 has been fast embracing the world. This new industrial revolution can offer an opportunity to leapfrog rapid development and growth in the ensuing decades, if our education system would endeavor to master the capabilities needed to adapt this technology shift in the offing. It may also pose an equally formidable challenge, if our education system would fail to tide over this massive, irreversible and long-term disruption cycle of the 4IR. Indeed, this new industrial revolution is unfolding multiple challenges of breakthroughs in technology including robotics, artificial intelligence, data science, business informatics, nano-technology, quantum computing, biotechnology, the Internet of Things (IOT), the Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT), fifth-generation wireless technologies (5G), precision drones, additive manufacturing/ 3D printing and fully autonomous vehicles to necessitate a complete overhaul of our education. According to Klaus Schwab, the Executive Chairman of the World Economic Forum, these emergent technologies are likely to disrupt almost every industry in every country. The breadth and depth of these changes herald the transformation of entire system of production, management, and governance2. Moreover, recently “an Oxford study has estimated that 47% of the jobs in the US, 69% of the jobs in India and 77% of the jobs in China will not exist in 25 years. This is not mere conjecture. China’s factories are adding robots faster than they are hiring people. India’s information technology sector is already witnessing jobless growth and total employment may have already peaked.”3

We are already on the threshold of this all pervasive revolution comprising huge advances in genomics, artificial intelligence, materials and manufacturing technologies, wherein machines are closing in on human ability, robots are replacing humans in industries and in homes too, reusable rockets can make space travel and colonies in space a reality and gene editing can facilitate to create favourable traits and new life forms. All of these are bound to outdate our curricula, research and skilling programmes. Only those countries would thrive with prosperity in the 20s, whose education and research systems would cope up and master this paradigm shift.

Our current education system in India has yet to gear up to cope up with all such disruptive changes. India has earlier as well, suffered de-industrialization in the post-globalization era in the past quarter century due to our failure to cope up with the third industrial revolution (3IR), especially the 3.5IR, and have almost got reduced into a country of assembly lines and toll manufacturer of spares, for large transnational corporations (TNS) and producers of ‘Made by India’ products and brands. Most original equipment manufacturers have been edged out from a broad range of sectors, ranging from small toy manufacturing, bicycle, automobiles locomotives, telecom hardware of 2G, 3G, 4G and 5G technologies to the solar panels and peripherals. Even in solar power, where India is slated to emerge as the 2nd largest solar market in the world in 2018, 83% of the solar panels have to be imported mostly from China. Panels in the range of Rs 22,229 to Rs 28,385 crores have been imported per annum4. According to a parliamentary panel, it has costed 2 lac jobs in the country every year due to the import of solar panels alone from China5. We have miserably failed to develop affordable technologies for the manufacture of Silicon ingots as well for thin wafering of the Silicon ingots, needed for making the PV cells and modules. Same is true with telecom technology wherein we have turned fully dependent on imports for all 2G, 3G, 4G and 5G telecom hardware. Whereas, we had been well competitive in the first generation of telecom technology, and had even successfully experimented the homegrown corDECT technology for 2G, which was even capable to facilitate concurrent data and voice flows; but, unfortunately we opted for the European GSM Technology for 2G. China while depicting techno-nationalistic commitment, endeavored to develop its own TD-LTE technology, which has captured more than half the global market of the 4G telecom revolution. While we missed the boat even after developing a very good homegrown coreDECT technology for 2G mobile telephony much earlier than China. Even in the mobile handset manufacturing as well, the indigenous value addition is barely 4-6% in the form of assembling of the handsets.

Now in the next-gen of the surface mobility as well, within 7-10 years, the fossil-fuel (i.e. petrol diesel driven) cars would be largely out of roads and the battery driven electric vehicles and/or hydrogen fuel cell powered vehicles would sweep the roads and rails. But, we have not begun to develop alternative technologies and its complete downstream value chains and requisite manufacturing eco system at the required pace indigenously. The transport minister, Nitin Gadkary has already announced of banning the sale of fossil fuel (Petrol and diesel) driven vehicles by 20307. The market for storage batteries alone for the electric vehicles would be of $ 300 billion8, 3 times that of solar. For zero emission mobility wherein the cars, buses and trains driven by hydrogen fuel cell are being launched world over. India has failed to take a call, except one hydrogen powered bus developed by Tata Motors in collaboration with ISRO and IOC9. Whether we adopt the battery driven cars or hydrogen fuel cell powered cars, almost the entire auto ancillary units’ sector, especially the one manufacturing of engines and engine parts sector is going to die. After shifting to any alternative energy based mobility with electric or hydrogen powered vehicles, it would be harder to find petrol stations, engine spares sector or related trade or any mechanic to fix the fault of around 2000 moving parts that bedevil the fossil fuel based engines. Self driven cars on demand may eliminate the practice of owning a car and hence car dealers might begin to disappear by 2025 and onwards. 

Moreover, the all pervasive Artificial Intelligence (AI), Robotics and Automation would transform everything from civil construction to manufacturing and from trade to all kinds of services. But the NITI Aayog has been funded with mere Rs 3,700 crore to create a focused effort in this area10, which is a petty pigmy amount vis a vis Chinese or Euro-American endeavors and Japan as well as Korea, Taiwan and Singapore. Look at the scale of what China has already done which is madly seeking dominance of global AI industry. China has a plan to create a $150 billion AI industry by 2022. Our universities have to move fast to match Chinese might in AI, Robotics, data science and automation technologies, drones etc. Ford in Sanand in Gujarat has replaced 85% of its workers on the shop floor with robots. Robots have already been developed in China and other advanced nations for brick masonry, tile fixing, sewage clearance and lot many tasks. If we would have to import or outsource all AI and robotic solutions from outside, we would be badly drained out of all our foreign exchange resources and striped of the employment potential of the new industrial revolution. To the contrary, if we would build homegrown capacities and export these AI and robotic solutions to outside world, huge employment would be generated and a shower of foreign exchange would be received. But, our universities and even the elite institutes are yet to make a reasonable headway in data science, AI, robotics, 3D Printing, Machine learning, Internet of Things, electric vehicles, hydrogen fuel cell technology etc., especially when compared with China or any industrialized nation like the US, Germany, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Malaysia and so on.
The consequences would be quite formidable on the defence front as well, if the Chinese (who swallowed Aksai Chin from us in 1962 and devastated the massive buffer state of Tibet, captured Aksai Chin from us and are now right on our borders) dominate us in using digital technology and machine intelligence on our borders. They are well aggressive in cyber warfare, cyber-security and the use of robots and drones for warfare. The civilian infrastructure that has been put in place by China is now being adapted to warfare. For instance, China is the leading manufacturer of small drones in the world. But by adding machine intelligence and small arms to these drones, China can change the very nature of warfare (even if you leave cyber-attacks aside). No wonder if we see a thousand of them coming at us, powered with AI and their emergent intelligence of crowds like an aggression of bees from a beehive11. They would be impossible to defend against, like a swarm of locusts.

Our elite institutes, universities, including the colleges have to prepare to revamp total education, including research and the skill imparting endeavor with a futuristic vision. So, it is high time for our higher education system to integrate Data Science, Robotics, Automation, 3-D Printing, Internet of Things nanotechnology, biotechnology, 5-G telecom technology, alternative energy vehicles including electric vehicles, hydrogen fuel cell driven vehicles related technologies and job skills. Chinese universities have been rapidly evolving as places of powerful and high quality research in all these spheres and as a result they are also fast emerging as an increasingly important destination for international students. China is becoming a global economic superpower12 by virtue of the quality and innovativeness of its education, which is fast driving huge increase in prosperity of its people. India can catch and overtake its superpower neighbour by improving the quality and innovativeness of its higher education.

References
 1.   "The Fourth Industrial Revolution: what it means and how to respond". World Economic Forum, https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/01/the-fourth-industrial-revolution-what-it-mean s-and-how-to-respond/

2.    Schwab, Klaus (2017) [2016]. The Fourth Industrial Revolution. New York: Crown Publishing Group. ISBN 9781524758875

3.   Is India ready for the fourth industrial revolution?,https://www.livemint.com/Opinion/nWG 88na6rgg72 p07vV5tLN/Is-India-ready-for-the-fourth-industrial-revolution.html

4.      Ibid

5.    China accounts for 89% of India's total solar cells imports in 2017-18, https://wap.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/china-accounts-for-89-of-india-s-total-solar-cells-imports-in-2017-18-118080100849_1.html

6.  About 2 lakh jobs lost due dumping of Chinese solar panel: Parliament Panel,       https://m.economictimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/about-2-lakh-jobs-lost-due-dumping-of-chinese-solar-panel-parliament-panel/articleshow/65153134.cms

7.  Nitin Gadkari Tells Carmakers: Move To Electric Cars Or Be Bulldozed,        https://auto.ndtv.com/news/nitin-gadkari-tells-carmakers-move-to-electric-cars-or-be-bulldozed-1747395

8.     Govt’s electric vehicle campaign can create $300 billion domestic battery market: NITI Aayog, https://www.livemint.com/Industry/CQjREFzAOvT1XJ9l4UERgM/Move-to-100-electric-vehicles-can-create-300-billion-domes.html

9.     India’s first-ever hydrogen fuel cell powered bus by Tata Motors is here! Made in India bus emits only water, https://www.financialexpress.com/auto/car-news/tata-motors-indianoil-corporation-flag-off-countrys-first-hydrogen-fuel-cell-powered-bus/1096895/

10.   https://swarajyamag.com/magazine/the-fourth-industrial-revolution-is-upon-us-and-india-may-miss-the-bus-again

11.    https://swarajyamag.com/magazine/the-fourth-industrial-revolution-is-upon-us-and-india-may-miss-the-bus-again

12.  Vice-Chancellor addresses Times Higher Education’s Asia Universities Summit on how universities can drive the Fourth Industrial Revolution, https://www.sheffield.ac.uk/news/nr/times-higher-education-asia-universities-summit-1.761693









Sunday, 30 September 2018

घटती जैव विविधता का संकट

Pluralistic Interventions for Customised Development


The socioeconomic diversities of Bharat, with highly pluralistic techno-economic profiles and vast multiplicity of occupations, spread across an area exceeding over 5259 times the size of entire singapore, need well customized interventions for development, focused at inclusive growth. On reviewing the pluralistic techno-economic profiles of the country, we find the high profile Non-Resident Indians (NRIs), drawing as high as up to Rs. 525 crores p.a. as the chief executive officers (CEOs) of large MNCs, as well as the traditional tribal communities,solely or largely dependent over collection of minor forest produce as their sole means of livehood with an income as low as Rs 5000 p.m. or Rs 166 per day . Geographically, there are most sparsely populated blocks in the districts of Barmer, Jaisalmer or Leh-Laddakh, characterised by acute water scarcities, occupational hardships and highly under-developed infrastructure, including paucity of all civic amenities. To the contrary, there are metros with best possible infrastructural support, high comfort generating civic amenities and very advanced commercial and financial architecture to facilitate and sustain the best state of the art IT and commercial services of all kinds. India needs to harness there pluralistic capabilities, comprising a sprawling core sector; vast heritage of agriculture, allied activities and various crafts; one of the most developed service sector of the world; and an elaborate manufacturing sector spread across 400 industry clusters and manifold industrial estates, though mostly characterised by assembly lines, based largely on outsourced original equipments and sub-assemblies. Besides, Bharat is home to 17.5% of global population and 20% of the world’s youth. But, it has the second highest rate of youth idleness, after South Africa, where 30.8% of our youth between 15-29 years of age are with “no employment, education or training” (NEET) status. To the contrary, there are countries like the Singapore, Sweeden, Switzerland, Germany etc., finding paucity of working age youth to man various positions in the knowledge based sectors, falling vacant on account of superannuation, and finding it difficult to sustain their present state of manufacturing and exports. On the other hand India has been finding it next to impossible, to generate requisite investment in the domestically owned manufacturing capacities, necessary to generate employment for atleast a million of the youth per month or 1.20 core youth in aggregate per annum, acquiring working age per month or per annum respectively. India also has to bridge the vast gap in its contribution towards world manufacturing, as it has a paltry share of 2.1% in world manufacturing vis a vis 22 % share of China in the world manufacturing, which has even pushed the US at number two with just 17.6 %. Now Japan has just 1.6% of world population, but has a 7% contribution in world manufacturing. China too had 2.4% of contribution in world manufacturing in 1991. But, by virtue of acquiring a robust share in the world manufacturing, China could succeed in having highest ratio of middle income group in its total population, vis a vis all other countries of the world, by generating quality employment in manufacturing and allied activities.

Danger of Neo-Liberalism
Rampant unemployment and lack of quality employment in our economy, leading to poor nutrition as well as malnourishment has led India to 100th place in the world hunger index with highest rate of child death rate in the world comprising 4.8% for the children, dying below the age of 5. There are 77% families in the country, which do not have a single regular wage earner and 60.6 of the workers are such who also do not even get a casual job throughout the year. There are only 17% workers who are on regular wage or salary and 71.2% of the workers do not have any kind social security, related to their jobs.

The data from socioeconomic caste census(SECC), released by the government on July 4, 2015, further  reveal that the rural India accounts for 73 per cent of households and 74 per cent of these rural households survive on a monthly income of less than Rs 5,000 (Rs. 166 per day) for  its highest earner. The largest number of such households is in Chhattisgarh — over 90 per cent., which is reflective of almost a nightmarish life of such a vast number of households even after six and half decades of Independence, Moreover, according to these data, 51 per cent of the households are engaged in casual, manual labour subjecting them to dark and random forces of uncertainty for their survival and subsistence. Now only 30 per cent in cultivation, revealing that now agriculture is also not in a position to support more that a third of rural households. According to the SECC data, still, after 24 years of economic reforms, 31.26 per cent of the total rural households as are in the category of "Poorest of the poor” where the main earner of the family has an “insecure and uncertain” source of income and these households too live in a “one room house with kutcha walls and kutcha roof”. Among the SCs and STs only 17.70 per cent of SC and 10.50 per cent of ST households have their own houses. The miseries of rural India do not end here, as 44.5% of rural households live in kuccha houses.

The neo-liberal economic policies in last 26 years largely aimed at liberalising foreign direct investments (FDI) in trade, commerce and Industry; leading to erosion of tax-GDP ratio, especially via reducing indirect tax to GDP; trimming the welfare and social security net, rendering the massed over dependent over Public-Private-Partnership (PPP) for delivery of publicly funded services appear to be counterproductive to our developmental goals.

The automatically excluded households devoid of any tangible variable of inclusiveness as per the SECC found to constitute 39.4 per cent of the total rural population and constitute households with none of the following: motorised vehicles, mechanised agricultural equipment, kisan credit card with credit limit of Rs 50,000 and above, households with any member as a government employee, households with non-agricultural enterprises registered with the government, any family member earning more than Rs 10,000 a month, those paying income/professional tax, living in houses with three or more rooms with all having pucca walls and roof, owning a refrigerator, landline phone, possessing irrigated land etc. Thus almost 40% of the rural population falls below the poverty line on the basis of this automatic exclusion. How long should these families wait to get at least one of these tangible variables of inclusiveness is not certain. Whether in the same generation or in their next generation.

Diversities in Bharat
The big surprise in the SECC was that, even after the preliminary results are out, there does not appear any tangible progress in rural as well as urban India even after a quarter century of the reforms process started in 1991, to take economy on a new growth trajectory with its focus on farmers, agriculture industry and commerce, the SECC shows that over 51% of rural India survives on manual casual labour, while only 30% lives on cultivation. Thus, now agriculture is no more able to sustain the rural households as well, after a level, it was believed to be doing so till yet. Of the rest, 1.61% are non-agricultural enterprise owners, while less than 1% are either beggars or ragpickers. But their number is also above one crore in number almost 157 countries in the world have a population of less than 1 crore. Besides on a rational analysis one finds that the poorer working class is regressing back.
Between 1990 and 2015 India's per capita income is reported to have gone up 3 times with an average annual growth in per capita income by more than 5%. But, the annual wage growth for the industrial workers had been only 1% during the same period, as revealed from the annual survey of industries. To the contrary, the corporate profits in the net value added have grown from 20% to 45%. The share of wages in the net value added of the corporate sector has gone down from 32% to 12% between 1983-2013 the number of dollar billionaires from India in the Forbes' list rose from 1 to 49 by 2010 and 90 in 2014 almost third largest number in the world. This fast growing income divide between India's rich and poor can be largely attributed to the dismal rate at which real wages of industrial workers have grown over the past three decades. It is clearly evident from the data from Annual Survey of Industries, published by Mint, whereby the real wages have grew by just 1% per annum between 1983 and 2013! In fact, the real wages appears to have grown or far less than the growth in per capita income or productivity leading to worst miseries for the wage earners. This completely overrules the trickle down theory based on western economic assumption that the two (growth rate and wages) move in tandem. Moreover the rise in corporate profitability, particularly 1991 onwards is phenomenal and the wage rise has kept on lagging far more and more behind. Share of net corporate profits as percentage of net value added in corporate sector has more than doubled. To the contrary the share of wages has gone down to less than half in the net value added in corporate sector.


The ensuing labour reforms if undertaken are further likely to considerably erode the bargaining power of workers and their unions for having better terms of employment including better wages. In such a case the divide would be much wide leading to stagnation in the purchasing power of the workers and demand necessary for sustainable growth.


For the policy makers and economic planners as well as investors it is important to bear in mind that the ensuing 8-10% GDP growth will be meaningful only if people have disposable income to spend which would happen if the income divide can be bridged to some extent and real wages grow in tandem with growth and per capita income. Without substantial rise in per capita real wages, India's growth story will hardly take off to generate turnovers and growth. The proposed labour reforms likely to take out wind from the sails of bargaining power of labour would further strangulate growth in wages eluding the economy of requisite rise in income, demand, output, investment and employment to facilitate sustained growth.


Bharat, therefore has to move on a multipronged approach to incorporate all of the multiple economic profiles and occupation including agriculture, industry, commerce and services to place increased disposable income in the hands of all the sections, enough for a descent living. Agriculture: Agriculture needs to get precedence over all sectors, as more than half of our population is solely dependent over agriculture. Moreover India has world’s highest arable area of 189 million hectares and second highest irrigated area of 67 million hectares. Almost 20 crore hectare meters of water going in ocean without being utilized, can raise our irrigation potential to 165-170 million hectare, that can help us, feed two third of the world’s population. Our yield in the unirrigated area is 700 kg cereals per ha, while for the irrigated area, it is 3000 kg per ha. The countries like Netherland, largely dependent over organic manures reap 9 tonnes food grains per ha. Therefore, enhanced public investment in agriculture can revolutionaries agriculture even if we can raise our average yield of cereals to 7 Tonnes per ha, by raising our irrigation potential and productivity. It would be discussed in the concluding article. (To be concluded)

Monday, 27 August 2018

REFORMS IN EDUCATION TO TURNAROUND ECONOMY


REFORMS IN EDUCATION TO TURNAROUND ECONOMY

Published in University News, Vol. 56, No. 35, August 27- September 2, 2018

Education is key to facilitate and enrich the socio-cultural, moral, scientific, technological, economic and overall development of any society or nation. It is a potent and purposive intervention to facilitate, object oriented learning, invoke utilitarian skills, consolidate moral values, bring advancement in scientific and technical know how, enhance individual and social commitments, reinforce one’s faith in the self and shape the individual as well as societal behavior of generations to come. So, education acquires key significance in a country like India, home to one fifth of the global youth and endowed with, one of the world’s largest higher education system. But, India needs to take an urgent call for low employability and low innovativeness of its passing out graduates, as well as for low international ratings, whereby India is able to attract only 0.61% of international students1 with no place in 50 top international destinations for higher education. Besides, India has a very poor, 60th rank in the global innovations index (GII)2.

Quality of education has wide ramifications over the economy, including the manufacturing, trade, commerce, employment, national security, human development and overall socio-cultural environment. Country’s share in the world manufacturing has today plunged to a mere 2.1% vis a vis 22% of China, 17.6% of the US and 7% of the Japan3. Japan has mere 1.6% of world population and 7 percent share in world manufacturing. While India has 17.8 % of world population and mere 2.1 percent share in world manufacturing. In world ship-building, India has less than 1.0% share, vis a vis 26% share of South Korea having 5% of India’s population as well as area. Thus, inspite of being 4th largest steel producer in the world India lags far behind Korea in the ship-building due to poor education, research and training in the maritime engineering in country. Same holds true across a broad range of sectors. Commenting upon such a poor state of affairs the information technology industry veteran and Chairman of Manipal Global Education, TV Mohandas Pai has opined that, India failed to derive the demographic dividend as it’s saddled with crores of youngsters with low skills unsuited to the economy.4 He feels that there is a need to improve quality of education and stop undue regulation and control of education.5 Indeed, today India stands 60th in the global innovations index (GII), at 100th place in Global Hunger Index6 and at 131st place in the Human Development Index7. Taking cognizance of such a poor state of education, nutrition and health in the country the Secretary-General of the industry body ASSOCHAM, D S Rawat has rightly said that India must invest a lot in education, health and child nutrition so that the human resource turns qualitatively superior. 8 

This poor quality and low innovativeness of education and research is fatefully reflected in the defence hardware development as well. China has successfully developed two fifth generation stealth fighter aircrafts on its own9, the J20 and the J31. Whereas, India has yet been working on the 3rd generation (or at the most 3.5 generation) Tejas and still striving to procure non-stealth 4th generation or 4.5 generation Raeffel and F16 whose manufacturing has already been stopped in the US. In view of its obsolescence vis a vis the fifth generation fighter aircrafts with stealth capability (radar-evading ability) viz the F35 and Raptor2210. Likewise, our missiles viz. the Agni range of missiles too can carry only single nuclear warhead, while Chinese missiles are capable to carry multiple nuclear warheads. In the area of electronics, telecom (4G as well as 5G technologies), nanotechnology, supercomputing, artificial intelligence etc. too India has to take an urgent call from the developments taking place world over.

To bring a turnaround in our manufacturing, technology development, innovations and research (fundamental as well as applied) and intellectual property creations, via effective human development, India needs to take care of its education sector urgently. According to T. V. Mohandas Pai, it takes time for educational reforms to impact, as reforms will take ten years to impact; by which time this (the current) generation will be lost. The State Bank of India to in its report has said that India has only one decade to change its status into a developed country and will need to focus on education, failing which the much-hailed ‘demographic dividend’ will turn into a disadvantage, and it will never be able to go into the developed group of nations. Then the country shall perpetually stay in emerging group of economies only.11    

India, otherwise is well blessed with an ostentatiously vast and enviable number of around 150 elite institutes and 665 plus state universities including the deemed and self financed universities along with 43000 colleges including 374 autonomous colleges. The elite institutes include 103 institutes of national importance, so declared by the Parliament, including the IITs, NITs, AIIMS, IIITs, IIMs etc., along with 47 Central Universities. All of them are blessed with most liberal fiscal support and access to cream of the nation’s talent, being admitted through most fiercely contested entrance exams. The combined enrolment of all these institutes is around 3.2 crore students, almost equal to the population of Canada. The 150 elite institutes of the country alone, outnumber the total number of universities in several countries like, the Canada, UK and several European, Asian and Latin American countries, whose universities make, almost a beeline among the top ranking global universities, viz among the top 250 universities in the Times Higher Education (THE) university rankings12. The 150 elite institutes of the country, blessed with all the bounties from the exchequer and absolute autonomy, devoid of any political and bureaucratic interferences, could well usher India in the league of top innovating and manufacturing countries, if they attempt to embark on the goal of quality teaching and research. The non-elite, but public funded institutes and universities too have been attracting a fairly talented cross-section of the society by virtue of their lower and nominal fees vis a vis the self financed institutes and universities. The self financed institutes have been offering education at relatively higher and cost- based fees, for want of any fiscal support from the state.  

The quality deficit, prevailing across-the-board in teaching, research, publications, innovations and overall intellectual property creation in the country's higher education network needs to be addressed urgently. Indeed a formal system of academic performance audit and continuous performance management needs to be put in place, for remedying the lacunae in the vision, mission, priorities, targets and pedagogies. A clear focus over an explicitly defined hierarchy of priorities, inter se, teaching, pedagogy development, research, publications, innovations, industry-academia cooperation too need to be developed urgently. An empowered and overarching agency too needs to be put in place to effectively monitor, counsel and mentor all the stakeholders,  replacing the present system, based upon, 'the accept or reject' regulatory-style.

Hardly 20 of the India’s universities and institutions, including the elite institutes, being sustained at a staggering cost of Rs. 75,000 crore, find place in the top 1000 universities of the world, that too  towards its tail end only. It is so, even when, the state funded institutes are catering higher education-needs of less than 50% of the total number of students enrolled in higher education today. More than 50% of the students, pursuing higher education in the country are studying in the self financed institutes or in the self-financed programmes of the public funded institutes, not getting any grant from the state. Rather, instead of getting any support from the state, such students even have to additionally bear several charges or levies, directly or indirectly being imposed by the regulatory authorities or the state-run universities. Such charges are either being directly imposed upon the students of affiliated institutions or from such institutes for approval or affiliation, which also devolve upon the students. To the contrary, in several countries like Denmark etc, the governments, conscious of their responsibilities of a welfare state, reimburse either in full or a large part of the fees being paid by the students in the self-financing institutions. We have 1.7 million engineering seats13, the highest in the world, but more than half are lying vacant solely for want of ability of the prospective students to pay the cost-based fees of self-financing institutes. Hence a system of fee reimbursement, atleast in part, can only remedy the poor GER, underutilization of capacity and poor quality.

In India, on excluding such students, pursuing higher education in the self financed institutions, the self financed programs of the public funded institutes by the distance mode and as non-collegiate, the per-student expenditure, calculated on the purchasing power parity basis for public funded institutions, is fairly comparable with the expenditures being incurred in several high performing countries. Yet, there are only 7 Indian universities in the world’s top 500 universities, as ranked by the Times Higher Education (THE). The universities of the US, Europe and even from our Asian as well as BRICS counterparts, like China, Japan, South Korea, other ASEAN nations and some of the BRICS nations make a beeline to the top, in the world university rankings. Even the tiny nations like Singapore, Hong Kong, Israel or Denmark with 5 to 8 million populations, have atleast 1-3 universities in the top 100, where we never figure. For want of quality in teaching and research, inspite of the education being most affordable in India, barring the countries offering free higher education, we do not even rank among the 50 top destinations, attracting international students. Hardly 36 of India’s universities and institutions have place, towards the tail end among top 1100 universities in the, THE world rankings. Out of these 36 institutes as well, 11 are self financed. If they are also supported by state grants and via reimbursement of fee of their students, they can also enhance their performance, when get all their seats filled.

We also have a very dismal share in the international patent applications being made, or in creating other forms of intellectual properties. Our share in international research publications is also abysmally low. Besides, more than 35% of the research papers being published in pay and publish category of journals in the world are of the Indian scholars. Our share in international research citations is also quite dismal at 3.1 percent, inspite of a very vast higher education-network. UK has only 133 universities, less than a sixth of the number in India and even less in number than the 150 elite institutes of India. Population-wise as well, the UK has just 1% of global population, but it has a 12% share in the international citation frequency of its research-publications. While, we have 3.1% share in international research citations, notwithstanding being home to world's 20% youth and one of the world’s largest education network. We are also home to 17.8% of the world's Population. The top 50 universities of the world-constituting the alma mater of most of the Nobel Prize winners, have each produced between 12-151 Nobel laurrettes in the preceding years.14 The lowest score is of 12 Nobel Laurrettes for the Duke University and Kings College University of Washington, and the highest number of 151 is from Harvard University (a private university). There are universities with double digit Nobel winners from tiny countries like Denmark, Sweden and Switzerland, having a miniscule population of 50 to 90 lacs. As a nation, US has highest 353 Nobel laurrettes followed by the UK 125, Germany 105, France 61 and so on. Netherland, Norway and Israel, having a population of mere 1.7 cr, 52 lac and 85 lac have 19, 13 and 12 Nobel Prize winners. India has only one noble laureate till date, Bharat Ratna Dr. C.V Raman, who could alone bag a Noble prize for the research conducted in India, that too prior to Independence in 1930.  Likewise, as per the data released by the World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) and even after a 7% growth, the patent filings from India had been mere 1529 in 2016 vis a vis 56,595 of  the US, 45,239 of Japan and  43,168 of China, under the WIPO’s patent cooperation Treaty (PCT). India has even seen a drop in international patent applications to 1,423 under the Patent Cooperation Treaty in 2015, while US had 57,385, Japan (44,235), China (29,846) and Korea (14,626), all figuring in the top-10 list, registering a rise 20%, 14% and 7%, respectively, from last year.15 India fared no better in terms of global trademark filings as well, under the Madrid System. It ranked 36th with only 150 trademarks field in 2015, down from 153 in 2014, when it had seen a more than 70% increase in trademark registrations. It shows a very miserable scene on the front of new product and brand launches. Against a paltry figure of 150 filings of India, the trademark filings of the US (7,340), Germany (6,831), France (4,021), China (2,401), Japan (2,205) are 14 to 48 times.

Data from the WIPO-Report on “the Breakthrough Innovations and Economic Growth” also highlight the vast gap with which the Indian elite institutes are lagging behind even their Chinese counterparts in research, that the IITs, though endeavoring to move ahead on research in nanotechnology with over 5,000 scientific papers and 14 patents since 1970, are yet miles behind the Chinese Academy of Sciences which excels with 29,591 publications and 705 patent filings in nanotechnology. Therefore, our education and research has a long distance to go, in promoting innovations and research at par with contemporary trends. The figure, on comparing with China, is embarrassingly low for the elite institutes of India, constituting an icon at home. The elite as well as non-elite institutes need counseling and support services for improving their curricula, pedagogy, quality of research and publications and all other parameters of performance. The self-financed ones too need to be extended residuary fiscal support to incentivise for quality of education and research.

Regulatory scope needs to be redefined to focus upon mentoring all the stakeholder, including the education providers towards better capacity building through consultative regulation and negotiated rulemaking, instead of colonial styled accept or reject mode. Besides, facilitating adoption of newer teaching-learning approaches like ‘problem-cum-project-based learning’ along with other emerging teaching-learning approaches, like the andragogies, peeragogy, heutagogy, ubuntogogy, transition pedagogy, and transformative pedagogy; supported by continuous industry interaction, including consortium approach, by large number of industry-university consortia. It is also high time to assign defined targets of performance to all education providers in terms of quality of passing out students, quality of research, publications and innovations. India too can emulate the Euro-American practice of consultative regulation and negotiated rule making, to enhance capabilities of all types of education providers, while keeping in view the ambitions of all the stakeholders, viz. the students, parents, faculty, industry and education providers. Indeed, the goals of inclusive growth in the economy with sustainable development and reorientation of our societal values can be realised only by holistic enrichment and reform of our education, with lesser regulation and greater facilitation. Over regulation only dampens quality. A truly facilitating and enabling environment for all stakeholders viz., the faculty, the education seekers, and the education providers need to be put in place with periodic review against quality benchmarks with remedial support of all kinds, including fiscal support can quickly transform higher education in the country to excel worldwide.   

Notes:
1.     Quamar Furquan & Bhalla Veena, Internationalisation of Higher Education in India, AIU 2017, N. Delhi p6

2.     Issac Wolfe, India moves up six places to rank 60 in Global Innovation Index, Jun 15, 2017, www.forbesindia.com/ article/ special/ india-moves-up/ 47267/1

3.   China has a Dominant Share of World Manufacturing, 1.6.2014, www.mapi.net/blog/2014 /01/china-has-

4.  https:// m.dailyhunt.in/ news/ india/ english/ edexlive-epaper-edex/india+has+over+10 + cr+youth+but+are+they+skill ed + to+ take+ up+ competitive+ jobs-newsid- 90348821

5.      ibid

6.  Why hunges in India is worse than in Nepal Oct. 13, 2017, www.times of india .indiatimes.com/india/ why-hunger/ 61063380.cms

7.   India ranks 131 on Human Development Index, Norway No. 1 livemint, Mar 22, 2017, livemint.com>politics>India....

8.      ibid 4

9.  Fifth Generation Fighter Jets, November 21, 2012, MIGFLUG, www.migflug .com >jetflights>fifth-gen...

10.     ibid

11.     ibid 4

12.     No Indian University In World’s Top 250, www.indiaspend.com >cover story.

13.     Amarnath K. Menon, When a stream goes dry, August 4, 2016, indiatoday.indiatoday.in

14.     50 Universities with the Most Nobel Prize Winners www.bestmastersprograms.org

15. World Intellectual Property Indicators-2016, World Intellectual Property Organisaton, www.wipo.int/edocs/pubdocs/en/ wipo_pub_941_2016.pdf

Wednesday, 1 August 2018

Winds of Deglobalisation Are Getting Stronger


Winds of Deglobalisation Are Getting Stronger
Globalization is now coming under attack, as the indiscriminate opening up of trade and investments across the borders has left majority of the world's population far behind. According to UNICEF, the richest 20 per cent of the population gets 83 per cent of global income, while the poorest quintile has just 1 per cent. This trend has been seen to be getting worse with ever deeper globalization of markets. The UNDP report called "Humanity Divided" estimates that 75 per cent of the population lives in societies where income distribution is less equal now than it was in the 1990s, although global GDP has ballooned from $22 trillion to $72 trillion.1 Now, it is almost $87.5 trillion in 2018. A perusal of this UNDP report also reveals that income inequality has increased by 11 percent between 1990 and 2010 in developing countries. The report also addresses inequalities beyond income, including education, health and nutrition, as well as gender inequality.2 The per capita incomes and per capita manufacturing value additions, as well as the GDP growth rates are subject to much sharper disparities and distortions, deepening due to the elimination of geopolitical barriers from cross-border trade and investments in the post-globalisation era.
Almost 60 percent of the world manufacturing has now got concentrated in 6 countries viz the China, US, Japan, Germany, South Korea, and UK. India accounts for 17.8 percent of the world population, yet it has only 2.1% share in world manufacturing. The per capita manufacturing value addition of Switzerland is around $12000, whereas it is mere $200 for India and much lower for several countries. China has singularly expanded its manufacturing clout to 22.5% of global manufacturing, from a paltry share of 2.4% in 1991. It has been most aggressive in acquiring companies abroad with advance technology or high brand equity in last two decades out of its quest to become the factory of the world. Examples of such acquisition are like buying of the personal computers division and server division of the IBM in the US and NEC in Japan by the Lenovo to become the largest PC manufacturers. Likewise, Chinese investors have bought hundreds of companies abroad in Euro-American countries and even in India, like the Motorola in the US or Gland Pharma in India and so on. US administration has long-back started wielding veto to Chinese takeovers, including the one with respect to the one with respect to the Unocal, as early as in 2005. Though, now the US has also opened the front for trade war by slapping tariffs on Chinese as well as European goods, paving way for more pronounced de-globalisation.
“Germany is also joining the U.S. and Canada in taking a tougher line on Chinese takeovers. Merkel’s government has been at the forefront of moves to bring in European Union-wide screening of outside investments after being the target of Chinese acquisitions in recent years. Policy makers are acting out of concern that China is seeking access to sensitive technology or wants to boost its global influence by acquiring key infrastructure including ports and electricity networks. Since Germany tightened its measures blocking unwanted takeovers in July 2017, more than 80 deals have been probed, with more than a third of those involving Chinese investors directly or indirectly, an Economy Ministry spokeswoman said. The government hasn’t used the law to block an investment since it was established in 2004.”3
“Merkel’s Cabinet in Germany on Wednesday the August 1, 2018 voted to block the potential purchase of German machine tool manufacturer Leifeld Metal Spinning AG by a Chinese investor, the Economy Ministry said in Berlin. The government took the precautionary measure even though Yantai Taihai Group indicated at the last minute that it will withdraw its offer.”4  “In May 2018, Canada too blocked a proposed takeover of construction firm Aecon Group Inc. by a unit of China Communications Construction Co., while the U.S. House of Representatives in July voted to expand reviews of foreign investment in sensitive industries. Chinese investment in U.S. technology companies probably would become more difficult and time-consuming under the legislation, with an increased risk of being blocked by a U.S. government panel that examines national security risks.”5
Indeed, all economic indicators show that post-2008 economic slowdown, de-globalization is finding favor in several countries to restrict free flow of goods, capital and manpower. With the weakening of demand many nations are now erecting import barriers, trade is slumping. Consequently, share of trade in global gross domestic product, which doubled from 30 percent in 1973 to a high of 60 percent in 2008. But, it has faltered to drop to 55 percent in pursuance of de-globalisation. Flow of capital - mainly bank loans - is retreating even faster. Capital flows have slumped to just under 2 percent of G.D.P. from a peak of 16 percent in 2007. The flow of people is also slowing, too despite a flood of refugees into Europe. Net migration from poor to rich countries has decreased to 12 million between 2011 and 2015, down by four million from the previous five years.6
In tune with these de-globalisation-moves of the western countries, India too should take care of its burgeoning trade and investment-income deficits-almost nearing $200 billion as combined deficit ($151 billion trade deficit and $47 billion investment income deficit). So, now instead of further easing imports and foreign investments, endeavors to bolster domestic manufacturing under indigenous ownership and control are need of the hour. This can alone enhance employment, income, demand and investments to promote inclusive growth for enhancing quality of life.    
Notes:
  1. Deglobalization: An Introduction, Online available: “http://www.iasscore.in/topical-analysis/deglobalizatio n-an-introduction”.
  2. Wahlen,Catherine Benson, UNDP Report Discusses Inequality in Developing Countries, sdg.iisd.org, January 21, 2014.
  3. Arne Delfs, Germany Blocks China Deal to Buy Machine Tool Manufacturer, https://www.industryweek. com/economy/germany-blocks-china-deal-buy-machine-tool-manufacturer, Bloomberg, August 1, 2018.
  4. Ibid
  5. Ibid
  6. Deglobalization: An Introduction, Online available: “http://www.iasscore.in/topical-analysis/deglobalizatio n-an-introduction”.


Monday, 30 July 2018

Prachin Bhartiya Samaj me Samrasta


izkphu Hkkjrh; lekt esa lejlrk

Published in Shaikshik Manthan

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        ;g vk{ksi vlR; gS fd “kwnz “kCn ^{kqnz* “kCn ls cuk gSA ;g loZFkk rF;ksa ls ijs gSA 'kwnz 'kCn gs; ugha gS vkSj ;g {kqnz ls ugha cuk gSA vFkoZosn ds “kCnksa dh fu:fDr ¼fuoZpu½ esa vius Je ds Losn ¼ilhus½ ls fofo/k mRikndh; dk;Z esa jr oxZ dks 'kwnz dgk x;k gSA vFkkZr ifjJe iwoZd fofo/k izdkj dh ewY;oku oLrqvksa ds mRiknu esa jr jgus okys oxZ dks “kwnz dgk x;k gSA ;Fkk “kwnz 'kCn dk fuoZpu fuEukuqlkj gS %&
               JeL; Losnsu mRiknu jr ,o 'kwnz%
        vFkkZr vius ifjJe ds ilhus ls lc izdkj dh ewY;oku oLrq;sa mRikfnr djus okyk 'kwnz gSA blhfy;s Hkkjr ij gq;s ckgjh vkØe.kksa ds iwoZ] vius mRiknu dk;ksZa ds izfrQy ds QyLo:i 'kwnz dk lekt eas vkfFkZd o lkekftd LFkku vR;Ur mPp jgk gSA blhfy;s dkeUnd uhfrlkj esa dgk gS fd jktk dks u;k uxj clkrs le; ij 'kwnz] tks fofHkUu ewY;oku oLrq;sa mRikfnr djrs gSa mUgsa o oS';] tks mu oLrqvksa ds O;kikj ls vk; mRiUu djds jktLo c<+krs gSa] mUgsa vf/kd la[;k esa clkuk pkfg;sA bl uhfr xzUFk esa ;gk¡ rd dgk x;k gS fd czkã.k o {kf=; jkT;ksithoh gSa] mUgsa jkT; dks thfodk o Hk`fŸk ¼osru vkfn½ nsuh gksrh gSA blfy;s mudh la[;k ifjfer j[kuh pkfg;sA pwafd ewY;oku oLrqvksa dk mRiknu djus okyk ;g oxZ loZ= QSyk gqvk Fkk vkSj og bl izdkj ds mRiknu dk;Z esa lalk/ku Hkh yxkus gksrs Fks] blfy;s gh _Xosn esa ^^ifjokj dh mRikndh; lEifŸk ;k mRiknu dk;Z esa yxh lEifŸk dks iwath dgk gSA** vkt dh iwath dh vk/kqfud ifjHkk"kk esa ^^iwath ekuo }kjk mRikfnr] mRiknu ds lk/kuksa** dks dgk tkrk gSA blesa ifjokj dk mYys[k ugha gSA pwafd czkã.k dks fHk{kk o`fŸk ls gh thou ;kiu djuk gksrk FkkA {kf=; vFkkZr {krkr j{kfr bfr {kf=; ¼lekt dks {kfr vFkkZr vU;k;iw.kZ fgalk ls cpk;s og {kf=;½ dks jktdks"k ls Hk`fŸk ;k osru feyrk FkkA lkjh ewY;oku oLrqvksa dk mRiknu djuk “kwnz dk gh dk;Z FkkA lhlk tLrk] rkEck lksuk vkfn /kkrqvksa ds mRiknu muls fofo/k midj.kksa] crZu vkfn dk fuekZ.k] HkwxHkZ ls jRu vkfn fudkyuk] ukSdkvksa ls ysdj “krfj= ¼lkS&lkS pIiwvksa okys ty;kuksa dk fuekZ.k½ dk fuekZ.k oL=ksRiknu] vkHkw"k.kksa dk mRiknu jFkkfn okguksa dk fuekZ.k peZ mRiknksa] /kkfRod mRiknksa vkfn dk mRiknu lc dqN “kqnz oxZ ds v/khu FkkA blhfy;s izkphu /keZ “kkL=ksa esa “kwnzksa dh mudh mRiknu dk;Z ds vuqlkj mRiknu lkis{k 1200 ls vf/kd tkfr ;k f'kYi Jsf.k;ksa dk mYys[k feyrk gSA ;s lHkh vius Je ls fofo/k ewY;oku oLrqvksa ds fuekZrk ;k ewY;oku lsokvksa ds iznkrk o jkT; dh vFkZO;oLFkk ds vk/kkj FksA fons'kh vkØe.kksa ds nkSj ds iwoZ mudk lekt esa vkfFkZd opZLo jgk gSA vusd Jsf.k;ksa dk ;g m|e ;k is'kk rks fczfV'k 'kklu esa fNuk gS] tc ;wjksih; mRiknksa dks ;gk¡ jkT; izJ; fn;k tkus yxk o f'kfYi;ksa ds vaxwBs rd dVk nsus tSls izdj.k c<+sA
tkfr;k¡ f'kYi Jsf.k;ksa ls cuh gSa  
        oSfnd dky ds vUr gksus ds iwoZ 1200 ls vf/kd fofo/k f'kYi ;k mRikn ;k iznÙk lsok ds vk/kkj ij vk/kkfjr tkfr;ksa dk mn~Hko gks pqdk FkkA ;s tkfr;k¡ fofHkUu O;olk;ksa ,oa f'kYiksa ls lEcfU/kr FkhaA budh Js"Vrk ;k dfu"Brk dk izkphu dky esa dksbZ Hksn ugha jgk gSA oktlus;h lafgrk] rSfÙkjh; lafgrk] rSfÙkjh; czkã.k dkBd lafgrk ¼„‰A„…½] vFkoZosn] rk.M~; czkã.k ¼…A†½] ,srjs; czkã.k] NkUnksX;] c`gnkj.;dksifu'kn~
        /keZlw=ksa] izkphu ckS) xzUFkksa ,oa esxLFkuht ds viw.kZ m)j.kksa ls irk pyrk gS fd bZlk ds dbZ “krkCnh iwoZ dfri; f'kYi o O;olk; vk/kfjr tkfr;k¡ fo|eku FkhaA esxLFkuht }kjk 300 bZlk iwoZ dky esa fy[kh bf.Mdk ds vuqlkj Hkkjr ds tu lkr eq[k f'kYi vk/kkfjr tkfr;ksa esa foHkkftr Fks & ¼1½ nk'kZfud] ¼2½ d`"kd] ¼3½ xksiky ,oa xM+fj;k] ¼4½ f'kYidkj] ¼5½ lSfud] ¼6½ vos{kd rFkk ¼7½ lHkkln ,oa djxzkghA v/;{k ,oa vekR;] Hkh lEHkor% rc tkfrlwpd gks x;s gksaxs tks in O;olk; ds ifjpk;d gSaA lEHkor% ;s in o”kaijEijkxr Fks] vr% esxLFkuht us bUgsa izeq[k tkfr;ksa esa fxuk gksxkA
jktdh; vfrfFk;ksa dk vkJ; 'kwnz
        ns'k esa mRiknu dh izpqjrk ,oa og lexz mRiknu f'kYi&lkis{k 'kwnz tkfr;ksa ;k Jsf.k;ksa }kjk gh fd;k tkuk] vkSj mlds vk/kkj ij gh jktdks"k ls Hkh vf/kd /ku 'kwnz tkfr;ksa ds ikl gksrk FkkA blfy;s jkT; ds vfrfFk;ksa dk vkfrF; Hkh egkHkkjrdky esa 'kkwnzksa ij voyfEcr FkkA egkHkkjr esa 'kwnz dk /keZ vfrfFk;ksa ds lRdkj o muds Hkkstu&vkokl vkfn crk dj mUgsa vR;Ur egRo iznku fd;k gS ftldk fuEu 'yksd esa Li"V dFku gSA
        l'kwnz% laf'krrik ftrsfUnz;%A lqJqfrZfFka ri% lafpuqrs egr~AA ¼egkHkkjr&vuq'kklu ioZ½
'kwnz dh lk/ku lEiUurk ds izek.k
        ,xal esfM~lu ds vuqlkj fo'o dk ,d frgkbZ mRiknu Hkkjr eas gksus o gekjs izkphu okaXe; ds vuqlkj lexz mRiknu dk nkf;Ro 'kwnzksa ds fu;U=.k esa gksus ls gh 'kwnz jkT; dh vFkZ O;oLFkk dk Hkh izkphu dky esa vk/kkj gksrs FksA iwoksZDr vFkoZosn o dkeUnd uhfrlkj vkfn ds m)j.kksa ds vuqlkj 'kwnz oxZ }kjk mRikfnr dh tkus okyh oLrqvksa ds vk/kkj ij vFkZ O;oLFkk dk izeq[k vk/kkj ekuk x;k gSA bl vk/kkj ij iqjk.kksa ds bl opu dh Hkh iqf"V gksrh gS fd 'kwnzksa ds lokZf/kd /kuh gksus ds dkj.k mudh edku o Hkwfe ds ekiu dk Qhrk ;k 'kw= Lo.kZ dk gqvk djrk FkkA
        ;gha dkj.k gS fd iqjk.kksa o izkphu okLrq xzUFkksa vkfn esa 'kwnz ds Hkou fuekZ.k vkfn esa iz;qDr] ukius okyk lw=] Qhrk ;k Mksjh dks Lo.kZ fufer rd gksuk cryk;k gSA tcfd czkã.k dk dq'kk uked ?kkl dk] {kf=; dk eqat dh Mksjh dk] oS'; dk dikl dk o 'kqnz dk lqo.kZe;h Mksj dkA
       czkã.kL; lw= nHkZta] ekStUrq r {kf=;L;A
       dkikZla p HkoS}S";s] Lo.kZfufeZra 'kwnzL; lw=e~AA
        bls vfr'k;ksfDr Hkh ugha dgk tk ldrk gS D;ksafd lkjh yksd dFkkvksa esa czkã.k dks fu/kZu gh cryk;k x;k gSA {kf=; dks Hkh fer lk/ku okyk gh cryk;k tkrk jgk gSA vaxzstksa }kjk fczVsu ls yk;s x, eky ls gh ns'k ds “kwnz ds uke ls tkus okys oxZ dk  m|e pkSiV gqvk gSA pkjksa o.kksZa dh lekurk % oLrqr% “kwnzksa dks vNwr rks 1574 bZLoh ¼lEor 1631½ esa jkepfjr ekul fy[ks tkus ds le; Hkh ugha ekuk FkkA jkepfjr ekul ds mŸkjdk.M esa rqylhnklth us 441 o"kZ iwoZ 1574 bZLoh esa fy[ks jkepfjr ekul esa o mlls vusd lgL=kfCn;ksa iwoZ jfpr ckfYedh jkek;.k esa Hkh pkjksa o.kksZa ds yksxksa }kjk lkFk&lkFk ty Hkjus] Lukukfn ds o.kZu gSaA ;Fkk &
       jkt ?kkV cka/ksÅ ije euksgjA rgk¡ fuefTtm oj.k pkfjm ujAA
        blh izdkj lwr tkfr] ftUgsa Lo&m|e jr “kwnzksa dh tkfr esa fxuk tkrk jgk gS] mUgha lwr th dks }kij ;qx ds vUr o dfy ds izkjEHk esa iqjk.kosrk dgk gS] tks _f"k;ksa dks iqjk.kksa dk Kku nsrs jgs gSaA _f"k;ksa ds lEeq[k lHkh iqjk.kksa dk foospu lwr th gh djrs] iqjk.kksa esa ;g cryk;k x;k gSA jkek;.k esa lqeUr n'kjFk ds] egkHkkjr esa lat; o blh izdkj] gj oky esa lwr x.k jktkvksa ds ea=h rqY; ikfjokfjd lykgdkj gqvk gh djrs FksA fookg deZ esa nwYgs dk laj{kdor lw=/kkj] lykgdkj ;k ;ksa dgsa rks laj{kd tSlh fLFkfr esa dsoy ukbZ tkfr dk cU/kq gh gksrk vk;k gSA nzkSinh lSfjU/kh dh Hkwfedk esa jktk fojkV dh iRuh dh deZpkjh gksrs gq;s Hkh mudh fudVre l[kh jgh gSA
'kwnz osnksa ds vf/kdkjh ,oa osn esa 'kwnz dks osnk/;;u dk leku vf/kdkj
        osnk/;;u ds lUnHkZ esa Hkh lcls eq[; vk{ksi ;k vkjksi ;gh vkrk gS fd osnksa esa “kwnzksa ds osnk/;;u dk fu"ks/k gSA ;g loZFkk vlR; gSA pkjksa esa ls fdlh Hkh osn esa “kwnzksa ds fy;s osnk/;;u ds fu"ks/k dk dksbZ “yksd ugha gSA blds foijhr ;tqosZn 26¼2½ esa “kwnzksa dks Hkh osnk/;;u djkus dk funsZ'k gSA
        'kwnz fdlh ls gs; ugha gSA ;g HkzkfUr Hkh fuewZy gS fd osnksa esa 'kwnz dks leku vf/kdkj ugha fn;sA ;Fkk &
       ^^;Fkseka okpa dY;k.khekonkfu tusH;%A czãjktU;kT;k 'kwnzk;pk;kZ; p Lok; pkj.;k;A
       fiz;ks nsokuka nf{k.kk;S nkrqfjg Hkw;kle;Tes dke% le`)rkeqieknks uerqAA** ;tqosZn v- 26 ea= 2
       vFkZ % eaSus ¼ijekRek us½ ftl izdkj ;g osn :ih ok.kh vkidks ¼_f"k;ksa½ dks nh gS] mlh izdkj vki lHkh bls czkã.k] {kf=; oS'; o 'kwnz lHkh dks i<+kvksA vius ifjokjksa esa ¼Lok;½ ouksa vFkkZr vj.;ksa esa jgus okys ¼p vj.;k;½ vkfn lHkh oxksZa dks osn i<+kvksA bl izdkj osnk/;;u fdlh ds fy;s fuf"k) ugha FkkA
izk.kh ek= ds izfr HksnHkko jfgr viuRo fgUnqRo dh dlkSVh
        fgUnqRo esa euq"; gh ugha izk.kh ek= ds izfr vxk/k ln~Hkko dk funsZ'k gSA vius ls fHkUu fdlh er erkUrj okyksa ds izfr Hkh fgalk dk funsZ'k ugha gSA gk¡] ,sls nqjkpkfj;ksa ls lekt dh j{kkFkZ lau) j[kuk vo'; /keZ dgk x;k gSA izk.kh ek= ds izfr blh izdkj ds ln~Hkko dh o:.k ls izkFkZuk dh x;h gS ;Fkk &
       rs –ga ek fe=L; ek p{kq"kk] lokZf.k Hkwrkfuleh{kUrkEk~A
       fe=L;kga p{kq"kk lokZf.k Hkwrkfuleh{ksA fe=L; p{kq"kk leh{kkegs;tqosZn 36@18
        HkkokFkZ % gs ijes'oj! ge lEiw.kZ çkf.k;ksa esa viuh gh vkRek dks lek;k gqvk ns[ksa] fdlh ls }s"k u djsa vkSj ftl çdkj ,df=r ,d fe= nwljs fe= dk vknj djrk gS oSls gh ge Hkh lnSo lHkh izkf.k;ksa dk lRdkj djsaA
        lEiw.kZ lekt vkil esa ijLij HksnHkko jfgr o lejl O;ogkj djsa] ;g gekjs vFkoZosn esa Li"V o vlafnX/k funsZ'k gSA ;Fkk
       lekuh izik lgoks·UuHkkx% lekus ;ksD=s lgoks ;qufTeA lE;aps%fXua li;Z rkjk ukfHkfedkfHkr%AA vFkoZ- 3-30-06
        HkkokFkZ % rqEgkjh ty 'kkyk ,d gks] vUu dk foHkktu lkFk&lkFk gks] ,d gh tq, esa rqe tqMs+ gq, gksA tSls ifg;s ds vjs uk esa pkjksa vksj tqM+s gksrs gSa] oSls gh rqe lc iztktu feydj Kku :i izHkq dh iwtk djksA   
        _Xosn o _Xosnh; czkã.k xzUFkksa vkfn esa ik¡pksa oxksZa ;Fkk czkã.k] {kf=;] oS';] 'kwnz o vj.;okfl;ksa dh lfefr;ksa o ifjinksa dk iaptuk% dgk x;k gSA bl izdkj jkT; o lekt dh jpuk esa lHkh oxksZa] o.kksZa] Jsf.k;ksa o tkfr;ksa dk leku LFkku jgk gSA iaptuksa ¼czkã.k] {kf=;] oS';] 'kwnz o vj.; oklh vFkkZr tutkfr yksxksa dh 'kkldh; lHkk] lfefr o ifj"knsa gksrh FkhaA
ns'k esa 80 ih<+h iwoZ tUe vk/kkfjr tkfr;ksa dk vHkko
        bu fnuksa iqjkvkuqoaf'kdh vFkkZr~ vkfdZ;kstsusfVDl ¼Archeogeneics½ ds vUrxZr ns'k&fons'k ds fofo/k tu leqnk;ksa dh vkuqoaf'kdh dk v/;;u Hkh o`gn~ Lrj ij fd;k tk jgk gSA Hkkjr dh fofo/k tkfr;ksa ds thukse vFkkZr~ vkuqoaf'kdh ds Hkh dbZ v/;;u gq, gSaA if'peh caxky fLFkr us'kuy baLVhV~;wV vkWQ ck;ksesfMdy thuksfeDl ¼National Institute of Biomedical Genomics½ ,oa dbZ vU; 'kks/k&laLFkkvksa ds vuqlkj Hkkjr esa 60 ls 80 ih<+h iwoZ vFkkZr~ 1200 ls 1600 o"kZ iwoZ fookg viuh gh tkfr esa u gksdj varjtkrh; gksrs jgs gSaA bu thuksfed v/;;u ¼Genomic Studies½ ds vuqlkj 1200 ls 2000 o"kZ iwoZ vf/kdka'k fookg varjtkrh; gh gksrs jgs gksaxsA bl laLFkku ds vflLVsaV izks- vuqykHkk clq ds vuqlkj] nf{k.k Hkkjrh; v¸;j czkã.kksa vkSj rfeyukMq ds b:yk tutkfr;ksa esa dbZ mÙkj Hkkjrh; oa'kk.kq vFkkZr~ thu ik, x, gSaA foxr ,d n'kd esa gq, ,sls v/;;uksa ds dbZ 'kks/k&i= vesfjdk lfgr dbZ ns'kksa dh foKku dh 'kks/k if=dkvksa ¼tuZYl½ esa O;kid :i ls izdkf'kr gq, gSa o fujarj gks jgs gSaA bl 60&80 ih<+h iwoZ varjtkrh; fookg gh izpfyr FksA
tkfr;ksa esa is'ks ;k O;olk; tfur vkjksg&vojksg  
       tc ftl tkfr ds O;olk; ;k is'ks dk mRd"kZ] volku ;k foyksiu gqvk vFkok tc ftl tkfr dks fo'ks"k jkT;kJ; izkIr gqvk ;k fNuk vFkok lÙkk esa LFkku cuk ;k fNuk mlls tkfr;ksa dk vkfFkZd o lkekftd ifjos'k cnyrk jgk gSA blds cutkjk leqnk; ds ,d mnkgj.k ls Li"V gks tk;sxk tkfr;ksa dk vkjksg vojksg gksrk jgk gSA blds vfrfjDr vusd fgUnw xzUFkksa esa vaxzstksa ds dky esa iz{ksi ;k dwV jfpr 'yksd jpuk ls Åap&uhp dk Hksn] bZlkbZ erkUrj.k ds fy;s Hkh fd;k ;k /ku yksyqi laLd`rKksa ls djokdj mUgsa izlkfjr fd;k x;k gSA vusd xzUFkksa esa os izf{kIr ¼tksM+s x;s½ 'yksd muds foU;kl] NUn] 'kCn iz;ksx vkfn ls i`Fkd yxrs gSaA ,sls dqN izdj.kksa dk ;gk¡ mYys[k lehphu gS %
cutkjk leqnk; % ^catkjk*] ^cutkjk* ;k ^o.ktkjk* 'kCn ewyr% ^okf.kT;* 'kCn ls mn~Hkwr ^okf.kT;kjk* 'kCn dk :ikUrj gSA catkjk yksx izkphu vUrnsZ'kh; O;kikjh o okf.kfTd oxZ ls gSaA ;s yksx] tc vkokxeu ds vk/kqfud lk/ku ugha Fks] rc cSyksa ij fofo/k izdkj dk lkeku <ksdj mudk O;kikj djrs FksA dbZ lkS csyksa ij fofo/k LFkkuksa ls eky Ø; dj mudk vU; LFkkuksa ij foØ; djrs FksA b.Mksusf'k;k ls vjc rd bu c.ktkjksa dh cuk;h vufxur >hysa bldh lk{kh gSaA ;Fkk ekjokM+ o esokM+ ds chp vtesj esa rks catkjksa dh cuk;h >hy dk uke gh ^^c.ktkjh >hy** gSA mn;iqj dh fo'o izfl) >hy ihNksyk] ftldh iky ij gh lEiw.kZ jktegy cuk gS] vkSj ftlds vUnj o rVksa ij fo'o ds loksZRd`"V gksVy cu gq;s gSa] c.ktkjksa dh cuk;h gq;h gSA vQxkfuLrku ds xkSj] ikfdLrku ds ykgksj] is'kkoj esa Hkh ,slh >hysa gSa vkSj budh la[;k vufxur gS] D;ksafd mudk ekSf[kd bfrgkl ml LFkku dh tuJqfr esa gh gSA esokM+ esa 15 fnu rd izfrfnu N% ?k.Vs pyus okys ^^xkSjh u`R; ukfVdk** esa jktk o uxj lsB ls Hkh vf/kd /kuh c.ktkjk dks fn[kyk;k tkrk gSA mls izR;sd jkT; ds nk.kh vFkkZr~ rRdkyhu dLVe vf/kdkjh dks vusd izyksHku fn[kkdj vius O;kikfjd dkfQys dks fudkyrs fn[kk;k tkrk gSA vkt vusd jkT;ksa esa catkjs yksx vusd 'kkjhfjd Je vk/kkfjr dke djrs ns[ks tkrs gSaA dbZ jkT;ksa esa os vU; fiNM+k oxZ esa o dqN esa vuqlwfpr tkfr esa gSa] vk/kqfud okf.kT; ds nkSj esa mudh vUrnsZ'kh; O;kikj i)fr vizklafxd gks x;hA
        dkj[kkuk mRiknksa] tks izkjEHk esa 18oha o 19oha lnh esa baXyS.M ls vkrs Fks] ds dkj.k Hkh yk[kkssaa&djksM+ks gLr f'kYih] cqudj] yqgkj vkfn csjkstxkj gq;s gSaA vusd ,sls dkjhxj tft;k o tsgkn ls foLFkkfir Hkh fd;s x;s FksA vaxzstksa ds 'kklu esa uxjksa ds vizR;kf'kr foLrkj] uxjksa esa jkstxkjksa ds ladsUnz.k vkSj uxjh lektksa ds Lrjhdj.k] 'kkldh; Lrjksa ds foHksn vkfn esa Hkh lekt esa Å¡p&uhp dk O;ogkj c<+rk x;k tks dgha&dgha vLi`';rk dh lhek rd pyk x;kA

Plantation and Ecological Balance

ikS/kkjksi.k o gekjk ikfjfLFkdh ra= Published in shaikshik manthan       ns'k esa lHkh f'k{k.k laLFkk,a izfro"kZ O;kid...